March 13, 2020

Dr Jacob Schor, ND

 The Colorado Department of Health posts a daily summary of positive cases of viral infection and the county in which they were located. 

As of this morning Friday, March 13, 2020, out of the 600 people tested, 72 results were positive for the virus:  https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vRSxDeeJEaDxir0cCd9Sfji8ZPKzNaCPZnvRCbG63Oa1ztz4B4r7xG_wsoC9ucd_ei3–Pz7UD50yQD/pub

The Health Department’s Covid-19 Help Line:  303-389-1687 or 1-877-462-2911

On Wednesday, Denver became one of the first cities in the US to implement drive-thru coronavirus testing free to patients with a doctor’s note. The testing center was quickly overwhelmed leading to this FOX headline:  “Colorado health officials turn people away from drive-thru COVID-19 testing as state struggles to meet demand”  The drive through center was closed when the line became too long.   From the health department’s website: 8100 E. Lowry Blvd, Denver, CO 80230 the testing center was CLOSED ON MARCH 13.

The drive-up testing site is scheduled to be open March 14 from noon to 2 p.m. It is expected to be able to serve the first 100-150 people in line on March 14.

This information will change; please check back.https://www.colorado.gov/pacific/cdphe/covid-19-testing

Several interesting articles are available to read in today’s New York Times.  The paper, by the way, has removed their “pay wall” and made all of their published material on the virus free.   One of the best explanations I’ve read about current public health goals appeared in an article by Nicolas Kristof and Stuart Thompson.  In a series of interactive charts, they explain the expected course of the disease and predict fatalities based on a series of variables that can be adjusted.  Observing how the charts change graphically illustrates some of the concepts that have been tossed around in the news in recent days.  Most important is the goal of flattening the case number curve.  

If the epidemic is allowed to run its natural course here in the US, infection rates will peak in early July with about 9.4 million people infected at that time. As the disease runs its course eventually about 100 million people will have been infected, about one third of our total population.  This will result in about a million fatalities.

Public health interventions can cut the total infection rate by more than half, to 4.5 million and fatalities would drop to about 475,000.  Shifting the date that these interventions are initiated makes significant differences in eventual fatalities.  The earlier the action, the better the outcome.  If they are started today, eventual fatalities drop to 320,000.  If we wait until July, fatalities rise to over a million.

Another interesting article looked at how several Asian countries have controlled the virus and compares and contrasts how they managed to do this.  Benjamin Cowling and Wey Wen Lim write about the efforts that occurred in Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong, all countries that have brought their outbreaks under control.  They have done so with far milder strategies than China used.  https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/opinion/coronavirus-best-response.html?referringSource=articleShare

It appears we can learn a great deal from the efforts that have been and are being made to control this infection in other countries.  

There is also an interesting article about why soap is effective against viruses.  The history and chemistry of using soap to wash with and prevent disease is covered:  https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/science/soap-coronavirus-handwashing-germs.html?referringSource=articleShare